Macro Trends

This article provides an in-depth analysis of the cryptocurrency industry’s predicament in 2025: Despite NVIDIA reaching a $5 trillion market cap—a historic feat in the tech sector—and Bitcoin hitting new all-time highs, these achievements fail to conceal the broader slowdown across the industry. While mainland Chinese A-shares, Hong Kong stocks, and U.S. equities all continue to rise, blockchain remains caught in a cycle of financial engineering that lacks genuine innovation. The article charts the sector’s trajectory from the golden era of ICOs, DeFi, and NFTs to the current points-based reward systems. It reveals stalled technological progress and the prevalence of speculative, sentiment-driven investing within the market.

Gate Research Daily Report: On October 31, BTC experienced a rapid pullback from its high followed by a short-term rebound; ETH continued its downward trend but showed signs of stabilizing at the lows; GT stabilized and rebounded around $12.57 after repeatedly breaking support; JELLYJELLY rose approximately 40.56% within 24 hours. Strategy’s Q3 profit fell to $2.8 billion, and Bitcoin’s premium hit an 18-month low; Ethereum officially scheduled the Fusaka upgrade for December 3; after a pullback, Ethereum rebounded in the evening, with its trading range narrowing.

Since mid-October 2025, BTC and ETH have remained in a high-level consolidation phase, with price structures and volatility showing clear divergence while short-term momentum has weakened. In the derivatives market, leveraged positions have undergone deleveraging followed by gradual recovery, with ETH positions displaying stronger resilience. On October 10, long-position liquidations exceeded $19 billion, reflecting mounting pressure at higher price levels and fading short-term confidence. Overall structure remains stable, though the rebound momentum appears limited. In terms of quantitative strategies, the RSI-based reversal model has performed solidly in assets such as BTC, delivering cumulative returns of around 50%. However, higher returns are still accompanied by greater volatility and drawdown risk. In contrast, the Gate Quant Fund focuses on market-neutral arbitrage and hedging strategies, emphasizing stable returns and robust risk management to provide investors with a more balanced and sustainable qu

Gate Research Weekly Report: Over the past week, bitcoin has traded between $107,500 and $116,388, moving between its 100-day and 200-day moving averages, suggesting an extended consolidation phase. Mastercard plans to acquire crypto infrastructure company Zerohash for $2 billion. The Grayscale Solana spot ETF has launched, boosting market demand for Solana exposure products. Interest rate cuts are expected to slow, with traders lowering bets on a December cut. Aave Horizon’s RWA market has surpassed $425 million. Bitwise’s Solana ETF saw a second-day trading volume exceeding $72 million. KALSHI’s monthly trading volume reached a record high of over $4 billion.

Gate Research Daily Report: On October 29, the crypto market experienced a broad pullback, with major assets under pressure. BTC fell 0.29%, retreating from above $116,000 to around $112,000, while ETH slipped 0.11%, maintaining a high-level consolidation pattern. Capital flows shifted toward the infrastructure and application innovation sectors — Pi Network (+16.77%) surged following a KYC expansion that spurred short-term inflows; APRO Token (+22.73%) rallied on optimism surrounding its “Oracle 3.0” update and new ecosystem plan; and Puffer (+29.82%) gained traction as its UniFi AVS launch positioned it at the forefront of Ethereum scalability development. Meanwhile, t54.ai introduced x402-secure, establishing a programmable trust and verification framework for the agent ecosystem; Visa expanded its stablecoin support network, with quarterly crypto payment volumes rising fourfold year-over-year; and Tether Gold’s market value surpassed $2.1 billion, which — together with PAX Gold — now accounts for nearly 9

Gate Research Daily Report: Before the official interest rate cuts take effect, Bitcoin may continue to consolidate within the $113,792–$116,388 range. Ethereum faced resistance while attempting to break through the $4,200 level and may experience further short-term pullbacks or sideways movement. Activity and user growth on the Clanker platform remain strong, with CLANKER rising 14.72% within 24 hours. The October 21 exchange listing boosted liquidity, driving RECALL up 11.21% in 24 hours. x402’s infrastructure development is progressing rapidly, with the ecosystem token market cap surpassing $840 million and a 24-hour increase of 384.1%. Tech giant IBM’s launch of the IBM Digital Asset Haven platform marks a further expansion of its presence in the digital asset space.

Gate Research Daily Report: On October 27, BTC maintained a steady upward trend, trading above the 30MA, with the short-term trend leaning bullish; ETH continued its strong upward momentum, remaining above the short- and mid-term moving averages. Bitcoin’s non-circulating supply declined, with roughly 62,000 BTC flowing out of long-term holders’ wallets; JPYC launched its yen-backed stablecoin and issuance/redemption platform JPYC EX; Kalshi’s 30-day trading volume exceeded $4 billion, setting a new record for annualized trading volume.

In 2025, gold emerged as the year’s top-performing asset, posting gains of more than 50%, while Bitcoin managed only a 15% increase—marking a reversal where “digital gold” lost out to its physical counterpart. This article examines the safe-haven rationale driving central banks’ frenzied gold buying and a crisis of confidence in the U.S. dollar. It also discusses turbulent geopolitical conditions. It also notes Bitcoin’s transition from financial rebel to a member of the mainstream system. The ebb and flow between digital gold and physical gold reveals the evolving nature of wealth beliefs in our era.

Gate Research Daily Report: On October 24, BTC once again broke above the $110,000 mark; ETH showed a consolidating and choppy trend, rebounding slightly after finding support near $3,750; GT remained range-bound around $15.8. Most tokens continued their strong upward momentum, with market sentiment running high and trading activity notably increasing. Bitcoin’s return above $110,000 boosted optimism as market sentiment was lifted by policy and macroeconomic factors, while the awakening of a “Satoshi-era” wallet—dormant for 14 years and transferring 150 BTC—drew widespread attention.

The article delves into the reasons behind the surge in gold prices, highlighting that a key factor is the shift in asset allocation among major sovereign nations, particularly the weakening confidence in the U.S. dollar and the reassessment of risks associated with holding dollar-denominated assets.

Gate Research Weekly Report: BTC and ETH continued to trade sideways as market momentum weakened and overall sentiment turned cautious. Anza launched Jetstreamer, enabling Solana developers to achieve ultra-high-speed ledger data transmission. BlackRock’s BUIDL fund expanded its deployment on Aptos, advancing the development of the RWA tokenization ecosystem. Tesla reported an $80 million profit in Q3 from its Bitcoin holdings, with the total value of its digital assets rising to $1.3 billion. Meanwhile, Tempo announced a $500 million funding round on October 18 to accelerate the growth of its high-performance payment blockchain ecosystem.

In September, the cryptocurrency market remained volatile, with total market capitalization fluctuating between $3.8 trillion and $4.3 trillion. Early-month capital inflows pushed valuations to a peak of $4.25 trillion, before macroeconomic factors drove a pullback to around $4 trillion. Liquidity stayed stable, though the market lacked fresh momentum. On-chain activity was steady, led by Solana, while Arbitrum and Base saw mid-month surges. Base and Polygon also experienced brief spikes in gas fees. ArbitrumDAO’s DRIP incentive program attracted significant inflows, with $33.1 million in stablecoins entering the ecosystem within two days. Meanwhile, Plasma launched its mainnet and native token XPL, which peaked at $1.67, bringing its fully diluted valuation (FDV) to over $14 billion.

Gate Research Daily Report: On October 22, the crypto market experienced a volatile pullback, with major tokens under pressure. BTC fell 0.88%, consolidating near key support levels, while ETH dropped 1.63%, showing continued weakness. AI-related tokens moved against the trend — BLUAI surged 295%, driven by its listing on Gate and the “AI × Sui” narrative; COAI rose 39%, focusing on the AI Agent ecosystem; and LIGHT gained 26%, boosted by its whitepaper release and growing interest in the Bitcoin ecosystem. Meanwhile, overall market structure showed signs of stabilization. Bitcoin’s open interest declined 30% over the week, easing leverage risks, while Gate Perp DEX surpassed $1 billion in cumulative trading volume, leveraging the Gate Layer network and high-performance matching engine to emerge as a key growth driver in decentralized derivatives.

Gate Research Daily Report: Over the past day, the cryptocurrency market has seen a significant rebound, with total market capitalization returning to around $3.87 trillion. Bitcoin broke above the $111,000 mark, rising nearly 2% on the day, while Ethereum traded narrowly between $3,917 and $4,082, showing a mild upward trend overall. Bio Protocol completed a new funding round backed by prominent investors. Growing market interest in Merkle tree technology and Lightning Network scaling solutions drove gains in Treehouse. VanEck’s filing for a Lido Staked Ethereum ETF marks another step toward DeFi’s deeper integration with traditional finance. Meanwhile, a leading asset management firm opened Bitcoin and Ethereum ETPs to retail investors, and Greenlane announced plans to raise $110 million to launch its BERA Treasury Strategy.

Gate Research Daily Report: On October 20, BTC is trading above the MA30, indicating that short-term bullish momentum remains, though it faces notable resistance above; ETH’s short-term MA5 has crossed below MA10, forming a short-term bearish signal. Gate Layer on-chain addresses surpassed 100 million; Solana TVL hit a three-year high at 59.28 million SOL; Aave V4 will support diversified collateral assets, further expanding the financing scope in DeFi.